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Cotton Price Reactions to USDA reports

WASHINGTON - Mar 11/05 - SNS -- The impact of major USDA production and stocks in all positions reports on soybean prices has been mixed since 1989, judging from a recent USDA analysis of price changes after the release of the reports.

Crop production reports were most often seen as bearish than bullish. Of 90 crop production reports, prices decreased 48 times after release of the report, while rising 42 times. The week after the report, prices had fallen 47 times and risen 43.

However, prices tended to rise more than they declined the day after release of the production reports, with the spread increasing a week after release of the reports.


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